šŸŸ Not Lovin' It

Plus, what Trump's 'numbskull' comment means for your numbers...

HAPPY THURSDAY TO THE STREET.

Everyone’s talking about Nintendo’s Switch 2. Meanwhile, Microsoft $MSFT ( ā–¼ 0.82% ) is teasing its next-gen Xbox — and no one even noticed.

Is it an underreported catalyst? Or just a sign that no one’s checking for Microsoft gaming until we get Elder Scrolls VI?

— Brooks & Cas

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STOCK HEATMAPS

S&P 500 Heatmap. Credit: Finviz

All Stock Heatmap. Credit: Finviz

Global ADR snapshot. Credit: Finviz

Market Movers

CHIME, GAMESTOP, CUREVAC

$CHYM ( ā–¼ 6.25% ) Chime opens at $43 in Nasdaq debut after pricing IPO above expected range (CNBC)

$GME ( 0.0% ) GameStop hints at its next bitcoin buy. The stock is tumbling. (MarketWatch)

$BNTX ( ā–² 1.57% ) / $CVAC ( ā–¼ 0.54% ) BioNTech takes over CureVac in $1.25 billion all-stock deal among COVID rivals (Reuters)

$SHOP ( ā–¼ 3.54% ) / $COIN ( ā–² 0.69% ) Shopify partners with Coinbase and Stripe in landmark stablecoin deal (Fortune)

$UNH ( ā–¼ 1.56% ) UnitedHealth Seeks $1B Latin America Exit (YF)

OVERHEARD ON THE STREET

AP: An Air India plane bound for London crashed shortly after takeoff, killing at least 240 people, with one passenger surviving.

Bloomberg: President Trump said he may raise US auto tariffs, and officially overturned California’s planned 2035 gas-car ban.

CNBC: AMD $AMD ( ā–¼ 1.98% ) unveiled its next-gen AI chips in San Jose, which will ship next year and be used by OpenAI.

Reuters: Kenvue $KVUE ( ā–¼ 2.68% ) is considering selling some of its skin health and beauty brands to streamline operations.

CNN: Multiple popular online services went down this afternoon due to a Google Cloud $GOOGL ( ā–¼ 0.59% ) disruption affecting some Cloudflare $NET ( ā–² 0.68% ) services.

Tomorrow's Trade Idea, Today

WALL STREET’S NOT LOVIN’ IT

One Week, Three Downgrades

Ronald McDonald should be quaking in his clown shoes, if analysts from Redburn Atlantic are to be believed.

Calling popular weight loss drugs like Novo Nordisk’s $NVO ( ā–¼ 1.51% ) Ozempic and Wegovy ā€œdemand disruptors,ā€ the firm warns that the rise of these medications could result in millions fewer visits to McDonald’s $MCD ( ā–¼ 0.41% ) each year.

A $482M Bite

Specifically, Redburn forecasts 28 million fewer visits to McDonald’s annually, which could result in $482 million in lost revenue.

The broker’s not alone. On Tuesday, Morgan Stanley $MS ( ā–¼ 1.84% ) downgraded the fast-food giant to Equal Weight in its portfolio, following Loop Capital’s downgrade on Friday.

Shares of McDonald’s dipped on the news, but so far, they’re nowhere near Redburn Atlantic’s new $260 price target. Its stock closed at just over $300 today.

Blood or Ketchup?

Context is key. Nearly half a billion dollars in revenue sounds like a lot, but Redburn Atlantic’s projection constitutes a drop of just 0.9% in revenue annually. Compare it to the over $35 billion in revenue that McDonald’s brought in last quarter alone, and you can see why some traders viewed the downgrades as a buying opportunity.

As for the company itself, it wouldn’t be the first time its management pulled off a turnaround. We’re old enough to remember the dark days of 2014, when one analyst at Janney Capital Markets penned a memo on McDonald’s woes titled ā€œThat’s Not Ketchup… It’s Blood.ā€

$MCD is up almost 300% since.

Are you bullish or bearish on McDonald's (MCD) over the next 12 months?

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ON OUR RADAR

WSJ: ICE raids have led to a decline in sales for major brands like Coca-Cola $KO ( ā–¼ 0.99% ), as Hispanic consumers retreat from public life, including shopping.

Reuters: The fatal Air India crash poses a major test for Boeing CEO’s efforts to restore trust amid ongoing safety concerns.

AP: JetZero plans to build a $4.7B next-gen passenger jet plant in central North Carolina, aiming to create 14,500 jobs.

Bloomberg: Senator Alex Padilla (D-CA) was handcuffed and removed from a press conference in Los Angeles.

CNBC: Trump called Fed Chair Jerome Powell a ā€œnumbskullā€ today. Here’s what their beef means for your money.

WEDNESDAY’S POLL RESULTS

Are you bullish or bearish on GameStop $GME ( 0.0% ) over the next 12 months?

▇▇▇▇▇▇ šŸ‚ Bullish

▇▇▇▇▇▇ šŸ» Bearish

And, in response, you said:

  • šŸ‚ Bullish — ā€œGME is its own animal.ā€

  • 🐻 Bearish — ā€œThe Game is about to Stop.ā€

Reply

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