HAPPY MONDAY TO THE STREET

Microsoft (MSFT) is updating its Copilot terms of use after a viral slew of users flagged fine print describing the AI tool as "for entertainment purposes only." The phrasing dates back to Copilot's Bing era, well before Microsoft spent billions positioning the product as a must-have enterprise tool.

Say what you will, but it’s serving its purpose…

  • 🟩 | US stocks ticked up today on renewed hopes for a US-Iran ceasefire.

  • 📈 | One Notable Gainer: AppLovin (APP) surged after BTIG raised its Q1 estimates above consensus.

  • 📉 | One Notable Decliner: Invesco (IVZ) fell after BlackRock (BLK) filed with the SEC to launch a rival to the QQQ Trust.

— Brooks & Cas

MARKET SNAPSHOT

S&P 500 Heatmap. Credit: Unusual Whales

PREDICTION MARKET SNAPSHOT

Dan Hurley has won two national titles in three years. The market says he won't make it three. Michigan has outscored every tournament opponent by double figures, and prediction market odds reflect the consensus.

Tonight in Indianapolis, UConn will need something close to a miracle. The Huskies have pulled a few of those lately. But with alumni on staff, this is one time we’re betting on the overdogs. Go Blue!

Market Movers

BOOT BARN, LUCID, SOLENO THERAPEUTICS

📈 | Boot Barn (BOOT) jumped after Jefferies (JEF) upgraded the stock to Buy with a $195 price target.

📉 | Lucid Group (LCID) fell after reporting Q3 deliveries of 3,093 vehicles, disrupted by a supplier quality issue.

📈 | Soleno Therapeutics (SLNO) popped 30% after Neurocrine Biosciences (NBIX) agreed to acquire the company for $53 per share.

📉 | Dow (DOW) slid after Bank of America (BAC) downgraded the stock to Underperform.

📈 | Kratos Defense & Security (KTOS) rallied after Jefferies upgraded the stock to Buy.

Tomorrow's Trade Idea, Today

LOW BATTERY WARNING

Stock Spotlight

  • Stock: Tesla (TSLA)

  • Firm: JPMorgan (JPM)

  • Current Price: $353

  • Price Target: $145

  • Implied Downside: -59%

Running on Fumes

Tesla’s lot is filling up. JPMorgan’s Ryan Brinkman held his Underweight rating this week, citing a record buildup of unsold inventory and a first-quarter delivery miss.

The analyst also cut his 2026 earnings per share estimate to $1.80, below consensus, after the company reported roughly 12,000 fewer deliveries than expected.

Bright Spots, Dimmer Outlook

The analyst stops short of dismissing the bull case. The company has a differentiated business model, an appealing product lineup, and leading-edge technology. Those attributes are real, per the analyst.

But they are, in Brinkman’s view, easily offset by execution risk, rising competition, growing brand controversy, and a valuation that is pricing in a great deal.

One Bear, Many Bulls

The call is a lonely one. Of the 54 analysts covering the stock, just 10 rate it Underperform or Sell.

But there was a time not too long ago when betting on Tesla was the outlier call. JPMorgan’s stance demands conviction, but it could be ahead of the curve.

Do you own any shares of Tesla (TSLA)?

(Drop us a note and tell us why.)

Login or Subscribe to participate

OVERHEARD ON THE STREET

🛢️ | Research firm Citrini Research claims a field analyst reached the Strait of Hormuz by boat and found roughly 15 ships per day still transiting with transponders disabled, challenging the narrative that the waterway is fully closed.

🕊️ | President Trump called a proposed 45-day ceasefire with Iran "not good enough" and reiterated his demand to reopen the Strait of Hormuz tomorrow.

🤖 | A New Yorker profile of OpenAI CEO’s Sam Altman reported internal rifts and doubts in his leadership ahead of the AI firm’s presumed IPO later this year.

🏦 | JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon took aim at banking regulations in his latest letter to shareholders, calling aspects of Basel 3 Endgame "frankly nonsensical".

💰 | The Treasury Department named Bank of New York Mellon (BK) as financial agent for Trump accounts, with Robinhood (HOOD) set to build the app.

FRIDAY’S POLL RESULTS

Do you own any shares of Rocket Companies (RKT)?

▇▇▇▇▇▇ 🐂 Yup, I’m holding

▇▇▇▇▇▇ 🐻 Nope, not interested

▇▇▇▇▇👀 No, but I’m interested

STREET SHEET RESEARCH MEMBERS ONLY

Become a paying subscriber to read the rest and instantly access 3 TRADE IDEAS from TOP ANALYSTS with 30%+ UPSIDE every week.

UPGRADE TODAY

Reply

Avatar

or to participate