HAPPY TUESDAY TO THE STREET

After 15 years, Apple (AAPL) CEO Tim Cook—credited with taking the company from near-bankruptcy to a $4 trillion behemoth—will step down on Sept. 1. Longtime hardware chief John Ternus is stepping up.

Tim Apple out, John Appleseed in.

  • 🟥 | US stocks ticked down again today after Vice President JD Vance’s trip to join Iran negotiations was delayed, raising fears that a deal won’t be struck before the ceasefire expires.

  • 📈 | One Notable Gainer: UnitedHealth (UNH) popped on a Q1 earnings and revenue beat, plus a raised full-year outlook. (We covered the bull case in our first ever monthly Research report. Subscribe to read it here.)

  • 📉 | One Notable Decliner: Tractor Supply (TSCO) slid after Q1 earnings and revenue fell short of estimates.

— Brooks & Cas

MARKET SNAPSHOT

S&P 500 Heatmap. Credit: Unusual Whales

WHO WILL LEAVE THEIR ROLE IN THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION THIS YEAR?

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is feuding publicly with Army Secretary Dan Driscoll, and he's already fired a four-star general during a war while Driscoll was on vacation. Over on Kalshi, traders are pricing the odds of who gets voted off the island next. Hegseth’s equity just edged up to a coin flip.

Prediction market volatility may now be more stable than the Pentagon's org chart.

Market Movers

AMAZON, GE AEROSPACE, DR HORTON

📈 | Amazon (AMZN) climbed on an expanded agreement to invest up to $25B in Anthropic.

📉 | GE Aerospace (GE) fell after lowering its flight departure outlook, overshadowing a Q1 beat.

📈 | D.R. Horton (DHI) rose on a fiscal Q2 earnings beat, though revenue came up short.

📉 | 3M (MMM) slipped on lackluster full-year guidance and mixed Q1 results.

📈 | Quest Diagnostics (DGX) popped on a Q1 earnings and revenue beat.

Tomorrow's Trade Idea, Today

GOOD KARMA

Stock Spotlight

  • Stock: Reddit (RDDT)

  • Firm: DA Davidson

  • Current Price: $157

  • Price Target: $200

  • Implied Upside: 27%

Looking for ideas with higher upside potential? Street Sheet Research members get 3 stock picks from the Top 30% of analysts with 30%+ implied upside each week. Subscribe today.

Thread Starter

D.A. Davidson has turned bullish on Reddit. Analyst Wyatt Swanson assigned a Buy rating, arguing the human-first platform remains incredibly under-monetized relative to its social media peers.

LLM Gold Mine

The thesis hinges on Reddit's lucrative content-licensing deals with Google (GOOGL) and OpenAI. Swanson's base case assumes renewals at 15-30% higher rates than the existing contracts, a direct lift to the bottom line.

A settlement with Anthropic, which Reddit sued last year for scraping user data to train Claude, also looks increasingly likely as the AI firm preps for its public debut.

Karma Pays

Shares are deep in the red year-to-date, weighed down by decelerating traffic growth and macro jitters. Still, 19 of 29 analysts rate the stock a Buy or Strong Buy. Swanson thinks most catalysts play out in late 2026 and 2027.

Do you own any shares of Reddit (RDDT)?

(Drop us a note and tell us why.)

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OVERHEARD ON THE STREET

🛫 | Trump said he opposes a potential merger between United (UAL) and American (AAL), while floating federal help for bankrupt Spirit Airlines (SAVE).

🏛️ | Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh testified before the Senate that President Trump has never personally demanded rate cuts.

⛽ | US retail sales rose 1.7% in March, the fastest monthly gain in over three years, driven largely by a 15.5% surge at gas stations tied to the Iran war.

✈️ | Alaska Air Group (ALK) said it is currently recovering only about one-third of its fuel cost increase despite hiking fares more than 20% year-over-year.

🤖 | Jeff Bezos's secretive physical-AI startup Project Prometheus is raising roughly $10B at a $38B valuation.

MONDAY’S POLL RESULTS

Do you own any shares of Alphabet (GOOGL)?

▇▇▇▇▇▇ 🐂 Yup, I’m holding

▇▇▇▇▇ 🐻 Nope, not interested

▇▇▇▇▇▇ 👀 No, but I’m interested

And, in response, you said:

  • 🐂 Yup, I’m holding — “It’s gone from strength to strength, with a real possibility (on many fronts) to be a leader in future market.”

Reply

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