HAPPY THURSDAY TO THE STREET

Hershey's (HSY) latest earnings revealed an unexpected GLP-1 beneficiary: breath mints. Ice Breakers sales jumped over 8% as Ozempic users reached for gum to mask the dreaded "Ozempic breath," while protein bars climbed 17%. Turns out the fastest-growing weight-loss accessory isn't a smaller plate. It's a tin of Tic Tacs.

  • 🟩 | US stocks surged as strong earnings lifted sentiment, sending major indexes to fresh highs despite pockets of big-tech weakness.

  • 📈 | One Notable Gainer: Hertz Global (HTZ) soared on a new robotaxi partnership with Uber (UBER).

  • 📉 | One Notable Decliner: Meta Platforms (META) fell after hiking full-year capex guidance, stoking AI spending concerns.

— Brooks & Cas

MARKET SNAPSHOT

WHAT WILL APPLE SAY DURING THEIR NEXT EARNINGS CALL?

Apple (AAPL) reports earnings tonight, its first call since announcing Tim Cook's September exit. Kalshi traders see China and tariffs as near-locks at 96%-plus odds, but they're skeptical Apple will dish on glasses, foldables, or anything M3-flavored. Apparently traders find Apple's secrecy more reliable than its AI roadmap, and roughly as exciting.

Market Movers

ELI LILLY, ALPHABET, QUALCOMM

📈 | Eli Lilly (LLY) raised its full-year sales outlook on continued Zepbound and Mounjaro strength.

📈 | Alphabet (GOOGL) beat Q1 revenue with Google Cloud surging 63% year over year.

📈 | Qualcomm (QCOM) topped earnings estimates and announced data center chip shipments to a major hyperscaler.

📉 | KLA Corp (KLAC) issued Q4 guidance below Wall Street's earnings consensus.

📉 | Stellantis (STLA) fell on messy Q1 results tied to tariffs and provisions.

Tomorrow's Trade Idea, Today

COPILOT CLEARED FOR TAKEOFF

Stock Spotlight

  • Stock: Microsoft (MSFT)

  • Firm: Goldman Sachs (GS)

  • Current Price: $408

  • Price Target: $610

  • Implied Upside: 50%

Looking for ideas with higher upside potential? Street Sheet Research members get 3 stock picks from the Top 30% of analysts with 30%+ implied upside each week. Subscribe today.

Cloud Comeback

Microsoft posted its strongest quarterly report in years, and the Street is positioning for a rebound. Analyst Gabriela Borges sees a meaningful turn in the stock's multi-quarter slump, citing milestones across Azure, Microsoft 365, and a refined pricing strategy. Her Buy rating signals more catalysts to come.

Capex Cliffhanger

Borges is constructive on Microsoft's AI positioning and expects a catalyst-rich back half. Citi's (C) Tyler Radke echoes the call, noting Azure and Copilot are inflecting on a 26% jump in commercial RPO. Wells Fargo's (WFC) Michael Turrin pegs the AI business at $37B in run-rate revenue, growing more than 120%. JPMorgan (JPM) and Barclays (BCS) agree the company remains the most indispensable IT vendor in the enterprise.

Bulls Reload

Investors are still nursing concerns about $190 billion in projected capex and pricier memory squeezing margins. Shares are in the red after the print, capping Microsoft's worst quarter since 2008. But the Street sees the sell-off as the setup, not the story. Sometimes the best Copilots fly through turbulence.

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OVERHEARD ON THE STREET

📊 | US Q1 GDP rebounded to 2.0% annualized growth as the PCE price index jumped to 4.5%.

💼 | JPMorgan (JPM) hired Keefe, Bruyette & Woods bank coverage analyst Chris Mihok as a managing director in its financial institutions group.

🏛️ | The House passed a Department of Homeland Security funding bill, ending the partial government shutdown that began in February.

🛢️ | Brent crude topped $126 per barrel as the Iran war drags on, lifting average US gas prices to $4.30 a gallon.

🤖 | Elon Musk's X began a phased rollout of a rebuilt, AI-powered ads platform aimed at winning back marketers.

WEDNESDAY’S POLL RESULTS

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