HAPPY TUESDAY TO THE STREET.
Add billionaire Orlando Bravo to the Wall Street luminaries calling “AI bubble”. But fear not. In comparing the AI wave to the dot-com bubble, the private equity legend sees one “big difference”, as well. (Hint: it rhymes with “an idiot”. Sort of.)
🟥 | US stocks fell today, the S&P 500’s first decline in more than a week, as tech weakness and AI profitability worries weighed on sentiment.
📈 | One Notable Gainer: Trilogy Metals $TM ( ▲ 0.36% ) soared after the Trump administration announced a $35.6M investment, giving the US government a 10% stake.
📉 | One Notable Decliner: Aehr Test Systems $AEHR ( ▼ 17.38% ) fell after reporting lower revenue YoY and withholding guidance amid trade tensions.
Finally, read to the end for your shutdown-era jobs data fix…
— Brooks & Cas
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STOCK HEATMAPS

S&P 500 Heatmap. Credit: Finviz

All Stock Heatmap. Credit: Finviz

Global ADR snapshot. Credit: Finviz
Market Movers
ORACLE, AMD, FORD
$ORCL ( ▼ 2.52% ) Oracle stock dips on GPU profitability concerns (Investing.com)
$AMD ( ▲ 3.83% ) AMD CEO Lisa Su says AI critics are 'thinking too small' after massive OpenAI deal (YF)
$F ( ▼ 6.14% ) A Devastating Fire at a Major Ford Supplier Will Disrupt Business for Months (WSJ)
$ICE ( ▲ 1.84% ) NYSE owner takes $2 billion stake in Polymarket as prediction markets heat up (Reuters)
$DLTR ( ▼ 3.01% ) Dollar Tree shares slide as Jefferies downgrades stock on rising competition (Invezz)
OVERHEARD ON THE STREET
CNN: Tesla $TSLA ( ▼ 4.45% ) unveiled cheaper Model Y and Model 3 versions starting at $39,990 and $36,990 to counter slowing sales and competition.
GuruFocus: Boeing $BA ( ▲ 0.95% ) is nearing EU approval for its $4.7B acquisition of Spirit AeroSystems $SPR ( ▲ 0.53% ) after agreeing to divest assets to ease antitrust concerns.
NYT: A Los Angeles jury ordered Johnson & Johnson $JNJ ( ▲ 0.39% ) to pay $966M after ruling its baby powder caused a woman’s fatal cancer.
Reuters: Toyota $TM ( ▲ 0.36% ) said it was developing a small drone system to help drivers navigate hazards on unpaved roads and trails.
WSJ: Anthropic partnered with IBM $IBM ( ▲ 1.54% ) to embed its Claude AI models into IBM software, expanding its enterprise reach and developer tools.
Tomorrow's Trade Idea, Today
ASTERA LABS GETS A BOOST FROM THE AMD–OPENAI DEAL

Riding the AI Power Surge
Astera Labs $ALAB ( ▼ 3.95% ) could be one of the biggest beneficiaries of yesterday’s blockbuster announcement between Advanced Micro Devices $AMD ( ▲ 3.83% ) and OpenAI.
The two companies revealed a multi-billion-dollar infrastructure partnership that will see OpenAI deploy up to 6 gigawatts of AMD’s Instinct GPUs over several years. Astera shares surged on the news and have now nearly quadrupled in the past six months.
Citi $C ( ▼ 0.26% ) analyst Atif Malik reiterated a Buy rating on Astera and set a Street-high $275 price target, implying a nearly 30% upside from recent levels. The Silicon Valley-based semiconductor company builds hardware and software that enable high-speed connectivity in cloud and AI systems, a critical piece of the network infrastructure underpinning AMD’s forthcoming Helios platform.
The UALink Advantage
Astera’s leadership in open networking ecosystems appears to be a key reason for Citi’s bullish stance.
Malik noted that the company is “a leader in open AI networking ecosystems including UALink,” the low-latency, high-bandwidth interconnect standard AMD $AMD ( ▲ 3.83% ) is expected to use in Helios. By improving communication between accelerators and switches, UALink can make AI training and inference far more scalable.
That positioning could translate directly into profits. Citi estimates that as open rack-scale systems become more common, Astera could generate around $1,000 per accelerator deployed. The firm believes that exposure makes Astera one of the purest plays on the next generation of AI hardware infrastructure, even as broader semiconductor valuations remain stretched.
Standing Out in a Crowded Space
Citi’s $275 target stands well above the average analyst forecast of $190, according to LSEG data — a sign of how much optimism the bank sees in Astera’s long-term potential. While AI hardware remains a fiercely competitive market, Astera’s integration into AMD’s ecosystem gives it both visibility and leverage that smaller peers lack.
The company’s trajectory may depend on how quickly AMD’s Helios platform gains traction and how large OpenAI’s deployment footprint becomes. But for those looking for a beneficiary of the deal that hasn’t surged 30% over the past few days, Citi believes Astera is the place to start.
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ON OUR RADAR
CNBC: Gold surged past $4,000 an ounce for the first time as investors sought safety amid recession fears and a weak dollar.
Axios: A White House memo suggested furloughed workers may not get back pay, escalating Trump’s pressure on Democrats to end the shutdown.
Variety: The Motion Picture Association urged OpenAI to fix Sora 2’s copyright opt-out system amid a surge of AI-generated knockoff videos.
TechCrunch: X rebranded Verified Organizations into Premium Business and Premium Organizations tiers, offering gold and grey checkmarks.
AP: The WTO said global goods trade rose unexpectedly, driven by surging US imports and an AI-related buying boom.
STREET TWEET
According to BofA's analysis of customers receiving paychecks, employment growth slowed in Sept. Analysis of households receiving unemployment insurance payments suggest continuing claims in October are rising
— #Sam Ro 📈 (#@SamRo)
4:01 PM • Oct 7, 2025
BLS may not be reporting it, but that doesn’t mean it’s not happening.
BofA’s data suggests fewer people are getting paid and more are collecting unemployment. The divergence between payroll growth and jobless claims is starting to widen — never a great combo.
MONDAY’S POLL RESULTS
Are you bullish or bearish on Klarna $KLAR ( ▼ 2.18% ) over the next 12 months?
▇▇▇▇▇▇ 🐂 Bullish
▇▇▇▇▇▇ 🐻 Bearish
And, in response, you said:
🐂 Bullish — “I'm given the option to use them on a daily basis.”
🐂 Bullish — “Cautiously bullish. They have a pretty good hook for people without much credit experience, which is a big market. How successful they'll be in the loss ratio department remains to be seen.”